Key Messages

  • Muggy conditions continue today and heat index values once again approach 100F for most.
  • Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible this morning (10- 20%) along and west of the MO/KS state line. More rain is possible this afternoon and evening (10-20%). Pulse like storms with localized heavy downpours possible. No severe weather is anticipated.
  • Thunderstorms chances expand Thursday especially during the afternoon through overnight (30% AM to 70% PM). Once again heavy downpours are expected with marginal strong to severe storm chances.
  • Cooler conditions are expected to move in Saturday (low to mid 80s) with temperatures warming back toward seasonal normals (90s) next week.

Aviation

VFR conditions are expected through the vast majority of the period. Isolated SHRA is possible south of I-70 across KS this AM with most activity staying west. Additional SHRA/TSRA is possible later this afternoon and evening, but coverage is expected to be very isolated. There remains much uncertainty on where storms may develop.

Winds remain generally out of the SE before becoming more southerly late. There is likely to be some haze from smoke aloft outside of storms, no surface FU impacts are anticipated.

Watches & Warnings

MO...None. KS...None.

DISCUSSION...Pesel AVIATION...Pesel